A prosecution witness in the lese majeste trial of Voice of Taksin magazine editor and key red shirt Somyos Prueksakasemsuk testified yesterday that two articles in the magazine allegedly defamatory t...
Royal pardon for Thaksin? Or coup for the king? April 17th, 2012 by Nicholas Farrelly
Today the Bangkok Post flags an alternative path for former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra to return to Thailand: a royal pardon.
I appreciate the appeal of the idea for any number of Thailand’s key political players if they become convinced that, one-way-or-another, Thaksin is coming home. Bringing him back to the kingdom with an explicit debt to the palace and after enduring a period of ritual subservience is surely more palatable than some of the other options. It hardly resolves the issues, but it would set some new terms for the next round.
Indeed, another report this week notes that ”rumours persist that the army, which has attempted 18 coups since 1932, is planning to again seize power. But Thais are used to such rumours, and the talk of turmoil ahead”.
So which will it be? A royal pardon? Or a coup? Or neither? Or both?
Thaksin’s freedom: The price of royalist-military dominance? by Nicholas Farrelly
New Mandala regular Pavin Chachavalpongpun, recently appointed as Associate Professor at the Centre for Southeast Asian Studies, Kyoto University, has penned a new analysis of the evolving relationship between deposed former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra and Thailand’s other elite political players.
Pavin maks a provocative argument:
…if Thaksin does indeed return to Thailand, it could only mean one thing: The success of his enemies in preserving the integrity of the military and the monarchy in exchange for his freedom.
This sounds plausible to me. But there is also no doubt that arrangements of this style, especially where there is a history of such bad-blood, can become dangerously unstable. The unravelling of a deal like the one Pavin proposes could be incredibly destructive.
Yesterday I asked whether it was either a royal pardon for Thaksin or a coup for the king? Pavin reminds us that if Thaksin returns to Thailand factions in the military, and the palace, will have extracted a price. But I still wonder: Can any such deal last, especially after King Bhumibol Adulyadej is no longer on the throne?
This sounds plausible to me. But there is also no doubt that arrangements of this style, especially where there is a history of such bad-blood, can become dangerously unstable. The unravelling of a de...
Between February 11-13, the E-Saan Center for Business and Economic Research (ECBER) surveyed 1,093 people in all 20 provinces of the Northeast (Amnat Charoen, Bueng Kan, Buriram, Chaiyaphum, Kalasin,...
Bahraini people has just blocked some streets of manama, the capital of bahrain in order to show their oppression on F1 championship.صعد البحرانيون احتجاجاتهم ضد النظام تنديدا بإقامة سباق (فورمولا – وان) اليوم وأغلقوا طرقات في العاصمة المنامة.