2012-02-01

Fx.Gold $1747

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KP Finance  - Jan.31,2012 - 8:11 PM  -  Public
Not all forex pairs were born equal. Some will slow down and then bounce back when they approach a distinct line of resistance or support. If momentum is
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Trading currencies can be lonely. You're sitting in front of the screen for long hours, analyzing, reading, playing with the charts and trading.  Finding a
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The permanent euro backstop fund ESM is due to replace the European Financial Stability Facility this year. But both 500 billion-euro funds could be merged and added to a third from the International Monetary Fund to create a super debt firewall, according to media reports from Davos.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/0,1518,812565,00.html
The permanent euro backstop fund ESM is due to replace the European Financial Stability Facility this year. But both 500 billion-euro funds could be merged and added to a third from the International ...
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KP Finance  -  8:07 PM (edited)  -  Public
Greece pledged a last-ditch effort to prevent the collapse of a second rescue package from creditors, aiming to complete talks this week on a financial lifeline that’s been in the works for six months.

“Greece’s debt sustainability is especially bad,” Merkel told reporters. “You have to find a way through more action by the Greek government, more contributions by private creditors, for example, in order to close this gap.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-31/greece-fights-for-second-bailout-as-eu-leaders-seal-common-fiscal-accord.html
Greece pledged a last-ditch effort to prevent the collapse of a second rescue package from creditors, aiming to complete talks this week on a financial lifeline that’s been in the works for six months...
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KP Finance  -  5:48 PM  -  Public
The candles in the 4H chart suggests that this is a heavy correction, and the market could be heading lower, toward 1.30 (38.2% retracement), as well as 1.2928, 50% retracement.

A return back above 1.31, and a rise of the RSI above 60 without breaking 40 makes this an ABC correction.

http://www.fxtimes.com/technical-updates/eurusd-breaks-below-rising-channel-testing-1-3050-pivot/
The EUR/USD bounced off the 1.3077 support but failed to reach new highs yesterday, and instead slid during the 1/31 European - US session. The decline was sharp, and it broke the 1.3077 pivot as well...
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KP Finance  -  5:43 PM  -  Public
An important reversal has now completed in silver and it is in the early stages of what promises to be a powerful uptrend that should take it comfortably to new highs.
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KP Finance  -  5:39 PM  -  Public
Besides Greece, the market is beginning to focus on US employment data later this week and on the dynamics of BoJ and SNB own unique currency situations.

http://forexblog.oanda.com/20120131/eur-short-covering-just-started/
The EUR 1.32 handle was to be in the distant past. One Euro summit later, in tandem with month-end requirements, and we have a trading environment wishing to finally throw some volume about and a &#39...
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KP Finance  -  5:38 PM  -  Public
The market is trying to celebrate the latest EU summit, but there’s not much there worth toasting. GBP is getting a nod of approval from the market as the UK gave the new fiscal compact the cold shoul...
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KP Finance  -  5:35 PM  -  Public
resistances at 1.3200, 1.3235 and 1.3300.
supports might act at 1.3160, 1.3085 and 1.3040.

http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?storyid=c748709c-eeb6-49fb-be45-f8d36694d2e1
The Euro has losing the ground won during the European session and has fallen around 180 pips from 1.3180 after a weak US data posted Thursday to break 1.3070 support ant reach fresh intra-day low at ...
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KP Finance  -  5:31 PM  -  Public
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,738.00, GBP 1,102.23, and EUR 1,317.27 per ounce. Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,720.50, GBP 1,097.40, and EUR 1,310.06 per ounce. Cross Currency Table – Bloo...
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KP Finance  -  5:29 PM  -  Public
The XAU/USD has been trading at a strong pace during the first month of the 2012 with gains around 10% from the closing 2011 price of $1562.30. Throughout 2012, the yellow metal has been rising around...
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KP Finance  -  5:28 PM  -  Public
Greece pledged a last-ditch effort to prevent the collapse of a second rescue package from creditors, aiming to complete talks this week on a financial lifeline that’s been in the works for six months...
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there was still “a risk of more profit-taking from ... if market sentiment deteriorates,” with risks including weak demand from major gold importer India

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-edges-higher-as-dollar-slips-2012-01-30
Gold claws back a bit of lost ground as the U.S. dollar eases and profit-taking subsides.
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KP Finance  -  2:57 PM  -  Public
Weak US data is disappointing the buyers as annual housing prices dropped to -3.7% in November and Chicago PMI has just dropped to 60.2 from December’s 62.5, when analysts expected a rise to 63

resistances at 1.3200, 1.3235 and 1.3300.
supports might act at 1.3160, 1.3085 and 1.3040.

http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?storyid=02c2eef9-86e5-45cf-9c31-7493e916a7ee
After being capped at 1.3213, the EUR/USD was unable to hold the 1.3200 handle and has been progressively losing ground during the American session.
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KP Finance  -  2:56 PM  -  Public
European governments moved toward a confrontation over a second rescue package for Greece, just as a dimming fiscal outlook in Portugal opened a new front in the debt crisis.
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Stocks climbed around the world, heading for the best January since 1994, the euro strengthened and commodities gained after most countries in Europe agreed to tighter budget controls and Greece made ...
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The unemployment rate in the eurozone hit a record high of 10.4% at the end of last year, the Eurostat agency says.
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KP Finance  -  11:49 AM  -  Public
Two Japanese auto suppliers have agreed to pay more than half a billion dollars in criminal fines for a price-fixing conspiracy in the sale of parts to U.S. automakers, the Justice Department announce...
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KP Finance  -  11:47 AM  -  Public
BRUSSELS -(Dow Jones)- Belgium will get its deficit below 3% of gross domestic product in 2012, but without altering its linking of salaries to inflation or the retirement age, the Prime Mini...
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KP Finance  -  11:37 AM  -  Public
UBS: The ‘positive’ news flow for the Eurozone will cease soon (if not already) and current levels are still attractive to re-enter EUR shorts. Our year-end target remains 1.15. http://www.twitlonger.com/show/fl5m9a
TwitLonger is the easy way to post more than 140 characters to Twitter
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KP Finance  -  11:33 AM  -  Public
A deal to cancel much of Greece's debts may be announced soon - but that won't make the country's real problems go away.
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KP Finance  -  11:31 AM  -  Public
Surging borrowing costs in Portugal have raised the spectre of a second full-fledged contagion crisis in the eurozone, eclipsing the latest efforts by European Union leaders in Brussels to agree...
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For me, the defining image from Davos this year was the sight of Christine Lagarde, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, holding up an expensive-looking, designer leather holdal...
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KP Finance  -  11:04 AM  -  Public
The EUR/USD is finding some favor this Tuesday, having tested and bounced from 1.3070 area yesterday, strong static support zone. Struggling around 1.3200, the pair is losing momentum in the 4 hours c...
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Luis Benguerel comenta: ECB’s Nowotny Says ‘Can’t Be Sure’ Greece Will Stay in Euro “The policy of the euro zone assumes that Greece will remain a member, but thi
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KP Finance  -  9:44 AM  -  Public
downside risks to the global business cycle continue to translate into downside risks” to those pairs. Being a “EUR tail-risk that will not disappear until a sustainable solution has been reached on Europe’s sovereign funding issues”,
http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?storyid=2b945903-e98e-4f42-bfa3-2a6d4ecfe327
“Softer Fed communication, a greater-than-expected impact on euro bond markets of the three-year LTRO as well as extreme positioning imply that downside risks to EUR/USD have decreased”, write Danske ...
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KP Finance  -  9:23 AM  -  Public
There was a mild recovery in risk sentiment across currency markets in Asia Tuesday, but we are still adopting a wait-and-see attitude on the Greek debt swap deal despite rhetoric from the Greek leade...
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KP Finance  -  8:41 AM  -  Public
"Steady prices have triggered buying interest."

"I think we have good reasons to believe we are going to
test $1,805 in the coming day. The Fed was clearly the mostimportant event,"

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/31/markets-precious-idUSL4E8CV0S020120131
* Gold heads for 11 percent rise this month * Coming Up: U.S. consumer confidence Jan; 1500 GMT (Updates prices, adds fresh quotes) By Lewa Pardomuan SINGAPORE, Jan 31 (Reuters) - Gold
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KP Finance  -  8:38 AM  -  Public
BRUSSELS (Reuters) - Confidence in the euro zone's economy strengthened in January for the first time since early 2011, EU data showed on Monday, but a recovery in Germany masked a deterioration in Fr...
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KP Finance  -  8:34 AM  -  Public
BRUSSELS (Reuters) - Chancellor Angela Merkel cemented her political ascendancy in Europe Monday when 25 out of 27 EU states agreed to a German-inspired pact for stricter budget discipline, even as th...
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1 share  -  Eiichi Morino

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KP Finance  -  6:02 AM  -  Public
European banks are preparing to tap the European Central Bank’s emergency funding scheme for up to twice as much as the ECB supplied in its debut €489bn auction last month, providing further evidence of the sector’s liquidity squeeze.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/46198710
European banks are preparing to tap the European Central Bank’s emergency funding scheme for up to twice as much as the ECB supplied in its debut €489bn auction last month, providing further evidence ...
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AFP - Japan's annual industrial output fell 3.5 percent in 2011 overall but rose by more than expected in December, a mixed bag of official data from the world's third-biggest economy showed o...
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KP Finance  -  5:51 AM  -  Public
The latest European Union summit focuses on growth. It is about a decade late
http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2012/01/daily-chart-13?fsrc=scn/tw/te/dc/astuckrecord
The latest European Union summit focuses on growth. It is about a decade lateEUROPEAN UNION leaders are meeting in Brussels to talk about how to get their economies growing.
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KP Finance  -  5:45 AM  -  Public
Brent crude inched above $111 a barrel on Tuesday, on track for its first rise in two months, as concerns over supply from Iran and South Sudan trumped worries about a global economic slowdown that could hit oil demand.

http://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/Brent-rises-111-bbl-supply-reutersau-1895121568.html
Brent rises above $111/bbl as supply trumps economy
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KP Finance  -  5:30 AM  -  Public
Today's weakness in the Euro/USD (so far) has held important support in the 1.3080/50 area, which represents a former 6-week upside breakout plateau. As long as EUR/USD respects the integrity of the s...
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KP Finance  -  4:23 AM  -  Public
การฟื้นตัวจากปัจจัยบวกต่างๆจึงมีปริมาณจำกัดและจะมีแรงขายทำกำไรสลับออกมา เป็นระยะ มีแนวโน้มที่ราคาโลหะทั้ง 2 ชนิดจะดีดตัวขึ้นต่อ โดยมีแนวต้านอยู่ที่บริเวณ 1,740 และ 1,755 ดอลลาร์ สำหรับราคาทอง และ 33.70 และ 34.0 ดอลลาร์ สำหรับราคาโลหะเงิน

http://www.ryt9.com/s/prg/1333322
ทองปรับฐานหลังเจรจาหนี้กรีซยังไม่คืบหน้า บาทเริ่มอ่อน หลังแข็งค่าติดต่อกันหลายวัน ยังต้องระวังราคาปรับฐานฝั่งซื้อรอรับช่วงอ่อนตัว ทองเริ่มปรับฐานหลังจากมีแ
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further rise is expected later today, and next target would be at 1.3300 area. On the other side, a breakdown below 1.3077 will suggest that a cycle top has been formed at 1.3233 on 4-hour chart, then pullback towards 1.2800-1.2900 area could be seen.
http://blog.forexcycle.com/7723/daily-forex-analysis-january-31-2012/
EURUSD Analysis. After testing the support of the upward trend line on 4-hour chart, EURUSD rebounded from 1.3077. The bounce would possibly be resumption of uptrend from 1.2624, further rise is expec...
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Silver prices could outperform gold in the near-term and in longer-term the persistence of negative real interest rates will sustain the appeal of holding precious metals, said Deutsche Bank in a rese...
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KP Finance  -  3:56 AM  -  Public
Investors participating in a deal to slash Greece's massive debt would face an overall loss on their bond holdings of more than 70 percent

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/E/EU_GREECE_FINANCIAL_CRISIS?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2012-01-30-20-07-46
BRUSSELS (AP) -- Investors participating in a deal to slash Greece's massive debt would face an overall loss on their bond holdings of more than 70 percent, a person involved in with the negotiati...
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KP Finance  -  3:54 AM  -  Public
EUR/USD reached quotes as high as 1.3224 last Friday, prior swing low for Nov. last year, yet the pair failed to keep up the pace since the opening this week, suggesting the market may still show a li...
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Shanghai plans to become a global center for yuan trading by 2015, open its markets wider to foreign investors and almost triple non-currency financial transactions.
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“Greece is moving step by step to resolve its troubles, though the pace isn’t fast enough to give investors a big sense of relief,”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-31/asian-stocks-oil-rise-on-greek-debt-swap-talks-progress-aussie-advances.html
Asian stocks climbed, heading for the first back-to-back monthly gain since October 2010, after Japan’s factory output rose the most in seven months and Greece’s Prime Minister said debt-swap talks ha...
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European governments moved toward a confrontation over a second rescue package for Greece, just as a dimming fiscal outlook in Portugal opened a new front in the debt crisis.
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Gold market is seeing through all of this mess as it saw good buying below $1720 this morning. Bulls are reluctant to push it higher in today's trading session and are not chasing it but they do seem willing to step in down at these slightly lower levels. With some of the momentum indicators in overbought territory, some have decided to book a few profits out of the nice rally and see what their next move will be.

http://traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/2012/01/gold-firm-in-spite-of-stronger-dollar.html
Gold is coming under a bit of selling pressure in New York after opening higher in Asia alongside of silver last evening. Both markets then saw selling originating in the form of both profit taking an...
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“We are more concerned about the (euro zone), where the recent fortunes of the single currency could well reverse should Athens fail to secure its next bailout packages in March,”

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-futures-inch-up-on-safe-haven-appeal-2012-01-29
Gold futures waver between small gains and losses Monday, pressured by a strengthened dollar but supported by jitters over Greece as the first European Union summit of the year got underway..
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Jim Wyckoff @jimwyckoff
Comex gold ends US day session slightly dn, but near daily high, on mild profit taking. Bulls still technically strong. Apr dn $2 at $1,733.
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Britain did not welcome the euro and preferred to keep the good old British pound sterling. However, the country found itself in deep debt, like many of its European partners. Every minute of the EU m...
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Belgium was hit by nationwide strikes in protest at austerity measures today as leaders met for the European Union summit in Brussels.
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European leaders have started their first 2012 summit in Brussels, aiming to set new spending controls over individual governments, but also facing reminders of the continent's economic difficulties.
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If the U.S. economy keeps improving, interest rates should be raised this year or in the middle of next year at the latest, Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Charles Plosser told CNBC Monday.
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A daily close above 1.3250 would show that perhaps we are going straight to 1.35, but a weak candle in this area could suggest a pullback to 1.30 or so, at which point in time I would have to rethink the situation.

http://www.dailyforex.com/forex-technical-analysis/2012/01/EURUSD-Daily-Outlook-Jan-30-2012/10705
EUR/USD has been a frustrating pair for many traders lately. The pair has been the epicenter of mass confusion and occasional bouts of “hopium” by the markets.
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Follow Yahoo!'s The Daily Ticker on Facebook here! The late 2011-early 2012 rally is facing its first real challenge amid a string of negative headlines coming from (you guessed it) Europe. European s...
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DailyFXTeamMember @DailyFXTeam
From EU officials: Eu leaders agree on permanent ESM bailout mechanism to come into effect from July and to sign treaty at later stage.
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Gold is also under downward pressure because tomorrow is the first notice day for Comex gold, which is when traders either have to take delivery, roll over their position to another month or liquidate their holdings

“We fully expect to see China and India approaching nearly half of the world’s purchases of gold,”

http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?storyid=082feb00-4096-4cf6-a059-79caf7b34b2b
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US stock fell at the open on Monday, following markets in Europe and Asia, as concerns over the lack of a Greek debt swap deal weighed on investors' confidence.
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European leaders sparred with Greece over a second rescue program, clouding progress toward a permanent aid fund and tougher budget rules designed to stabilize the euro.
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Coastguards and naval forces of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) group of Arab countries have contingency plans for a possible attempt by Iran to shut the Strait of Hormuz, a Kuwaiti maritime offici...
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As of writing the cross is down 0.73% at 1.3109 with support levels lying at 1.3081 (low Jan.27) followed by 1.3045 (hourly low Jan.25) then 1.3013 (MA10d) and 1.2931 (low Jan.25).
On the upside, a breakout of 1.3244 (38.2% of Oct - Jan slide) would expose 1.3282 (low Dec.9) then 1.3356 (hourly high Dec.12) and 1.3371 (MA100d
Read more: http://community.nasdaq.com/News/2012-01/forex-eurusd-in-session-lows.aspx?storyid=117292#ixzz1kx00882z
FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The bloc currency is trading in the lower-end of todays range as uncertainty is gaining momentum regarding the PSI
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DailyFXTeamMember @DailyFXTeam
U.S. PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE DEFLATOR (YOY) ROSE 2.4% IN DECEMBER VS. 2.3% PREDICTED, PREVIOUSLY REVISED TO 2.6% FROM 2.5%.
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Nicolas Sarkozy has announced that France will introduce a tax on financial transactions - a plan earlier described by David Cameron as "madness".
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